Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 34.460983 37.120488 40.025952 43.462611 47.452631 51.985291 57.592465
2025-09-21 30.173506 33.584664 37.543249 42.562452 48.890253 56.804149 67.811475
2025-09-28 27.421803 31.135181 35.609146 41.544267 49.462996 60.091655 76.327586
2025-10-05 26.430193 30.579756 35.763084 42.957005 53.140694 67.921704 93.189961
2025-10-12 25.451387 29.890622 35.599545 43.826843 56.088637 75.215858 111.830841
2025-10-19 24.478039 29.094848 35.174471 44.216300 58.307907 81.787673 132.106273
2025-10-26 23.505155 28.208514 34.522007 44.159694 59.764574 87.347937 153.342142
2025-11-02 22.432238 27.107449 33.470848 43.373114 59.875785 90.432997 170.713925
2025-11-09 21.433756 26.045489 32.393558 42.429295 59.564389 92.596509 187.258433
2025-11-16 20.613581 25.183435 31.542767 41.753136 59.612732 95.497788 208.677310
2025-11-23 19.869587 24.388908 30.738639 41.075342 59.556811 98.158557 232.231989
2025-11-30 19.624108 24.281416 30.933785 42.026662 62.650316 108.939431 305.384768
2025-12-07 19.050085 23.691639 30.391876 41.740657 63.396738 114.504996 369.198479
2025-12-14 18.381237 22.937828 29.562193 40.902059 62.933044 116.817154 421.957110
2025-12-21 17.735137 22.191090 28.705563 39.951938 62.119956 117.964242 473.145058
2025-12-28 17.657546 22.270194 29.127117 41.269931 66.296672 135.645901 839.911556
2026-01-04 17.468700 22.173086 29.261425 42.080307 69.521649 152.452150 1779.466682
2026-01-11 17.197419 21.939014 29.160447 42.442865 71.782676 167.479384 6103.657995
2026-01-18 16.860149 21.590888 28.854758 42.390180 73.034505 179.499011 NaN
2026-01-25 16.411231 21.056936 28.220077 41.657702 72.475294 183.274344 NaN
2026-02-01 15.957785 20.502825 27.531144 40.777878 71.434985 184.413540 NaN
2026-02-08 15.573739 20.044803 26.985098 40.146942 70.976821 188.460485 NaN
2026-02-15 15.207965 19.604969 26.453607 39.513957 70.442307 192.027173 NaN